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The lights are back on. But is South Africa really moving forward?

South Africa’s future is not predetermined. As Barometer Day approaches on Friday, 11 September 2026, attention turns to whether today’s reforms and institutions are steering the country towards the future it wants.

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Are we building the future we want?

Indlulamithi SA Scenarios was launched in June 2018 as an independent scenario-planning initiative asking what a socially cohesive South Africa could look like by 2030.

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The launch of the 2035 Barometer

Thought leaders, changemakers and citizens will gather for the launch of the Indlulamithi South Africa 2035 Barometer on Friday, 11th September 2026.

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South Africa’s future is a choice, not an inevitable fate.

On Friday, 11 September 2026, Indlulamithi SA Scenarios Trust will launch the South Africa 2035 Barometer, an annual assessment of our trajectory towards three possible futures.

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Launch of the PA-IFS municipal intelligence series

What does governance intelligence and coalition stability reveal about South Africa’s municipalities.

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Xhanti Payi: Corruption | Dying Middle Class | SA’s Real Trajectory | Job Crisis | Vulture Culture

In conversation with Macfarlane Moleli on Be Frank With Mac, Indlulamithi South Africa Scenarios Trust Chairperson Xhanti Payi unpacks scenario planning, AI, governance, and why hope remains our greatest asset.

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On Air | Power 98.7

[ON AIR] On today’s LEADERSHIP SPOTLIGHT, Bongi Gwala is in conversation with @XhantiPayi, Chairperson of Indlulamithi SA Scenarios Trust.

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Economist and researcher, Xhanti Payi has just been appointed chairperson of the Indlulamithi SA Scenarios Trust.

Economist and researcher, Xhanti Payi. has just been appointed chairperson of the Indlulamithi SA Scenarios Trust. He will be taking over from Professor Somadoda Fikeni.

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Indlulamithi appoints Payi as chair along with three new trustees

ross-sector, research-based development strategy organisation Indlulamithi SA Scenarios Trust has appointed economist Xhanti Payi as chairperson of the board of trustees.

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Trends and Black Swans

Malnutrition

National Unity

The outlook for 2019

‘Be bolder! Go deeper!’

Gender-based violence

Research conference

Daily Maverick

Indlulamithi Scenarios Trust, in collaboration with The GIBS Centre for Leadership and Dialogue, will present the results of the 2022 Indlulamithi Barometer and host a ‘Social Compact Seminar’.

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SABC Channel Africa – 25 July 2022

Ahead of Indlulamithi Day 2022, Xolelwa Kashe-Katiya spoke to SABC Channel Africa on how events from the last 12 months affected South Africa’s prospects for social cohesion?

SAfm – 25 July 2022

Dr. Tara Polzer Ngwato and Xolelwa Kashe-Katiya discuss future studies and scenarios building exercises for the future of South Africans. They explain more about what they have looked at from stories that developed in 2017 and fast track into what it would look like in 2030

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SAfm – 30 July 2022

Xolelwa Kashe-Katiya spoke to Michelle Constant on Indlulamithi Day 2022 (Social Compacting Seminar) the possibilities of co-creating and framing what a new social compacting process might look like for South Africa.

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Wednesday, 21 October 2020

Prof. Somadoda Fikeni spoke eNCA on: Social media and social cohesion

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Wednesday, 16 June 2021

Dr Pali Lehohla spoke to Talk Radio 702 on : Our jobless youth: what is to be done, South Africa?

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Wednesday, 16 June 2021

Dr Pali Lehohla spoke to Cape Talk on: Our jobless youth: what is to be done, South Africa?

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Tuesday, 25 May 2021

Xolelwa Kashe-Katiya wrote an article for Daily Maverick on: Lack of young leadership is a development roadblock for South Africa.

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Monday, 31 May 2021

Andile Sangqu wrote an article for Business Day on: Thinking through scenarios can drive a new SA social compact.

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Wednesday, 16 December 2020

Xolelwa Kashe-katiya spoke to eNCA on: Road to reconciliation.

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Monday, 18 November 2020

Xolelwa Kashe-Katiya spoke to Power FM on: The role of scenarios in Social Compacting.

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Monday, 19 October 2020

Prof. Somadoda Fikeni spoke to classic FM on: Social media and social cohesion

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Monday, 19 October 2020

Andile Sangqu spoke to Power FM on: Social media and social cohesion.

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Monday, 25 January 2021

Xolelwa Kashe-Katiya spoke to eNCA on: Commentary on the National Planning Commission’s recent report on the state of South Africa’s economy and what steps the country needs to take to get out of crisis.

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Tuesday, 26 January 2021

Xolelwa Kashe-Katiya spoke to Business Day TV on: Commentary – Can SA still achieve its NDP 2030 goals?

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Sunday, 03 January 2021

Dr Abba Omar wrote an article for City Press on: Covid-19 magnified the grey rhinos we knew but chose to ignore.

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Tuesday, 22 December 2020

Dr Abba Omar wrote an article for Business Day: On the horns of our dilemmas: what we need to understand about grey rhino scenarios.

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Monday, 22 February 2021

Dr Pali Lehohla spoke to SAFM on: Economic stagnation: Can the NDP objectives be achieved.

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Monday, 22 February 2021

Dr Pali Lehohla spoke to Money Web on: Economic stagnation: Can the NDP objectives be achieved.

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Monday, 22 February 2021

City Press wrote an article on: SA was in an economic crisis before Covid 19, industry leaders say.

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Thursday, 18 February 2021

South Africa Today wrote an article on: ADRS and Indlulamithi SA Scenarios to highlight alternative policy pathways for SA’s post-COVID economic recovery

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Sunday, 14 March 2021

Xolelwa Kashe-Katiya spoke to Power FM on: Discuss the three Indlulamithi scenarios for 2030.

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Thursday, 25 March 2021

Dr Pali Lehohla wrote an article for Business Report on: Quantified scenarios can be the tools of foresight South Africa needs.

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Monday, 18 February 2021

Dr Pali Lehohla spoke to eNCA on:  SA’s economic troubles: Challenges brought on by COVID-19.

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Monday, 22 February 2021

Dr Pali Lehohla spoke to Talk Radio 702 on: ADRS launches report on SA’s economic outlook.

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Thursday, 15 April 2021

Dr Pali Lehohla spoke to SABC News on: Social impact bonds in South Africa.

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Tuesday, 27 April 2021

Xolelwa Kashe-Katiya spoke Newzroom Afrika on: After 27 years of freedom why is it that many South Africans do not feel free?

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Tuesday, 27 April 2021

Xolelwa Kashe-Katiya spoke to SABC Channel Africa on: South Africa celebrates Freedom Day

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Tuesday, 27 April 2021

Dr Fikeni spoke to Talk Radio 702 on: Freedom Day: ‘South Africa has different human rights violations.’

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Friday, 23 July 2021

Vuma Ngcobo spoke to eNCA on: Mass looting and violence – could we have seen this coming?

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Thursday, 15 July 2021

Dr Pali Lehohla spoke to Cape Talk on: Poverty, unemployment and inequality – hosts to a parasite called politics

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Friday, 16 July 2021

Wandile Ngcaweni wrote an article for Eyewitness News on: Social unrest signal a steep decline in social-cohesion

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Saturday, 17 July 2021

Tara Polzer Ngwato and Asghar Adelzadeh spoke to SAFM on: Issues impacting SA youth today & the need to actively involve youth in tackling development challenges.

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Wednesday, 21 July 2021

Xolelwa Kashe-Katiya spoke to SABC News on: Indlulamithi Barometer results and which of the three Indlulamithi SA scenarios South Africa is trending towards.

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Wednesday, 21 July 2021

Xolelwa Kashe-Katiya spoke to Metro FM on: The significance and impact of the Indlulamithi research in 2021

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Thursday, 22 July 2021

Daily Maverick wrote an article on: Future-proof the country: South Africa on track to become ‘land of disorder and decay’

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Friday, 23 July 2021

Vuma Ngcobo wrote an article for Business Day on: Mass looting and violence – could we have seen this coming?

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Sunday, 18 July 2021

Prof Somadoda Fikeni spoke to eNCA on: Indlulamithi scenarios and 2021 National Indlulamithi Barometer

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Monday, 19 July 2021

The Africa Report wrote on: South Africa: The ruling ANC is not aligned with the constitution, says Kgalema Motlanthe.

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Tuesday, 20 July 2021

Tara Polzer Ngwato, Prof Somadoda Fikeni, Dr Yacob Abba Omar and Dr Pali Lehohlaspoke to Business Live on:  Indlulamithi scenarios and 2021 National Indlulamithi Barometer

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Wednesday, 21 July 2021

Tara Polzer Ngwato spoke to SABC Channel Africa on: Indlulamithi Barometer and how South Africa continues to slide further towards a Gwara Gwara scenario

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SAfm – 01 August 2022

Post Indlulamithi Day 2022, Dr Tara Polzer Ngwato and Xolelwa Kashe-Katiya discuss social compacting and share the 2022 Indlulamithi National Barometer findings.

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Thursday, 19 August 2021

Vuma Ngcobo wrote an article for Business Day on: Lessons from abroad: Finding solutions for SA

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Wednesday, 14 July 2021

Dr Pali Lehohla spoke to Kaya FM on: Issues impacting SA youth today & the need to actively involve youth in tackling development challenges

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Sunday, 18 July 2021

Andile Sangqu spoke to Newzroom Afrika on:  SA unrest has put another spotlight on inequality

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