2035
Welcome to the launch of the INDLULAMITHI SOUTH AFRICA 2035 BAROMETER
From Scenarios to Barometer
Barometer Goal: Catalyse Collective Action
Barometer Design
3 Key Driving Forces (KDFs)
1.Economy
2.Institutions & governance
3.Societal attitudes and relations
The Barometer brings together 215 indicators to produce an annually updated picture of South Africa’s current condition and to describe this reality in terms of the Indlulamithi Scenarios.
Year-on-year Barometer comparisons will show the country’s trajectory: which Scenarios seem to be ‘coming true’ over time.
- Investment & growth
- Labour market & living standards
- Fiscal health
- Social protection
- Business environment & private-sector accountability
- Climate, energy & digital transition
- Informal economy & cultural industries recovery
- Regional & global economic integration
- Public service delivery & municipal capacity
- National leadership & institutional effectiveness
- Democratic health & party politics
- ANC internal dynamics
- Corruption & accountability
- Civil society & youth civic engagement
- Migration & immigration
- Historic trauma & social cohesion
- Gender-based violence & patriarchy
- Social unrest & trust
- Youth marginalisation
- Health & crime
- Land reform
- Education duality
- Emerging security threats
The Barometer data is drawn from reputable published secondary data sources
Most commonly used sources:
- Statistics SA (27 indicators)
- Treasury (14)
- World Bank (12)
- Afrobarometer (7)
- SARB (6)
- ILO (6)
- HSRC (6)
- Etc…
Hadeda Scenario was designed as ‘business as usual’ in 2025.
Barometer data confirms this.
Current indicators that look like Vulture Culture could be part of the early Weaver storyline…
… the path is not yet set in stone.
2026 Barometer - Scenario Distribution by KDF
Please share your own views about the country’s direction and the Indlulamithi Scenarios through this short questionnaire
