Indlulamithi scenario resources
To view the scenarios, economic modelling and barometer readings in full, please click on the materials below.
Research reports
Below are the research reports used in phases one and two.
THE ECONOMY
Political economy of a fractured world
By Lumkile Mondi, University of the Witwatersrand
SA’s demographic dividend
By Pali Lehohla, former statistician general
The structure of the South African economy and its implications for social cohesion
By Prof Alan Hirsch, University of Cape Town
WORK & SOCIETY
Future of unemployment
By Anelile Gibixego, MISTRA
Relationship between youth & work
By Rob Urquhart, Harambee
Impact & future of SA labour laws
By Prof Haroon Bhorat, University of Cape Town
Telkom Scenarios: 4th industrial revolution
By Phindile Dyani, Telkom
LAND, ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE & SOCIAL COHESION
The land question
By Dr Mbongiseni Buthelezi, Public Affairs Research Institute
Economic dimensions of climate change
By Tasneem Essop, National Planning Commission
MISTRA climate change scenarios
By Zamanzima Mazibuko, MISTRA
THE STATE & SOCIAL COHESION
Lessons from the KZN commissions
By Adv Vasu Gounden, ACCORD
Role of basic education in social cohesion
By Prof Wendy Ngoma, Angle Tide Business Solutions
Mother-tongue education
By Dr Lindiwe Tshuma, AIMSSEC
TRENDS IN CRIME & SAFETY
South African crime: Future directions
By Dr Andrew Faull,
University of Cape Town
Human trafficking: new risks on the horizon
By Marcel van der Watt, University of South Africa
The nature of gender-based violence in South Africa
By Marike Keller, Sonke Gender Justice
SOCIAL INSTITUTIONS
Perspectives on media/journalism/public information
By Prof Glenda Daniels, University of the Witwatersrand
The South African family
By Dzunisani Mathonsi, MISTRA
The South African middle-class & its potential
By Themba Moleketi, MISTRA
Lessons from other contexts
By Towela Ng’ambi, MISTRA
RECONCILIATION & REDRESS
Intergenerational trauma & woundedness
By Dr Mamphela Ramphele
Early field research on intergenerational trauma
By Wandile Ngcaweni, MISTRA
South African Spatial Justice
By Hassen Mohamed, SA Department of performance monitoring and evaluation
South Africa’s Spatial Future
By Prof Ivan Turok, Human Sciences Research Council